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This article has been reproduced by kind permission from Heren Energy LTD, having first appeared in ESGM 11115.

Carbon weekly review: emission prices reach record levels in high volumes  

The European Union Emissions Trading market was subject to high volumes and prices this week. A new record was broken on the OTC market on Thursday at EUR 20.50 per tonne of carbon dioxide equivalent (tCO2e) for 2005 vintage allowances — EUR 0.25/tCO2e higher than its previous all time high reached on 26th May. Total volume this week topped 4.5 million traded allowances, an increase of one million on the previous week. Prices continued to rise on Friday with further all time highs reached on all contracts.

Allowances for 2005 delivery began trading at EUR 19.50/ tCO2e on Monday, gradually climbing up during the session to EUR 19.60/tCO2e. Tuesday’s trading levels rose again on Tuesday and Wednesday with an average trading level of around EUR 19.50-19.70/tCO2e and EUR 19.70-17.90/ tCO2e respectively.

The steady climb in emission prices was attributed to the general rising energy complex with rising European gas and power prices — although participants continue to stress that specific carbon drivers are hard to isolate. On Thursday, carbon prices continued their ascension on the back of high gas prices leading to a widening of the coal to gas differential. In addition, an announcement from an EU Commission official urging member states to install further cuts an additional 290 million tonnes of carbon dioxide for phase on of the scheme sent further bullish signals to the market. The Commission said that certain National Allocation Plans (NAP) — which are yet to be approved — are “overly generous”.

The exchanges attracted around 1.7 million tonnes of allowances this week, the most liquid so far. The EEX and the ECX saw record volumes on Monday with 50,000 and 630,000 allowances, predominantly for 2005 delivery, respectively changing hands at an average price of EUR 19.35/tCO2e. The Amsterdam-based exchange ECX announced this week that the number of traders using the exchange had tripled in past two weeks. ECX’ commercial director Albert de Hann reportedly said that cement and steel companies were increasingly selling on the exchange as carbon cost rose. “Some of the large power users have relatively low abatement costs and are able to implement changes in technology quick and efficiently (…) they can save loads of CO2,” he said. Prices on the exchanges firmed thereafter during the rest of the week — all verging towards the EUR 20.00/tCO2e mark, reached on Thursday. The NordPool saw a total of 125,000 allowances trade on Thursday over a EUR 0.50/tCO2e spread — 10,000 for vintage 2005, 15,000 on its 2006 forward contract.

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Discussions picked up this week with regards to the remaining NAPs. Greece is awaiting the EU Commission’s approval on its NAP (71.26 million tonnes annually) sometime next week. No major changes are expected to occur. According to Point Carbon, the last of the 25 NAPs will be made public next week — finally revealing the total amount of allowances will circulate during the first phase of the EU ETS (2005 – 2007). The UK and Italy urged European officials this week to clarify how NAPs are drawn up and on what basis they are approved by the Commission. “There is an urgent need for the EC to apply more detailed guidelines and transparency,” reportedly said a UK official. The Austrian registry came on line on Thursday — the seventh so far (see EDEM 9114) The Spanish registry is the next poised to be up and running. The Spanish electronic database will most probably be given the green light by Brussels at the end of this month.

The UK Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) published plans this week to sequester CO2 emissions from onshore sources in order to bury them in depleted oil and gas fields in the North Sea (see EDEM 9112). The UK Offshore Operators Association questioned the move claiming “significant” investments would be needed but did not rule out the plan altogether. In addition, the UK Environment Ministry announced its climate change policy review has been put back another year. KT

This article has been reproduced by kind permission from Heren Energy LTD, having first appeared in ESGM 11115.