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As Bush fiddles... 

US corporations are no longer sitting idly by while US president George Bush goes slow on climate change policy. Bush faces rising pressure from many businesses to get his policy act together 

US president George Bush faces pressure from UK Prime Minister Tony Blair to join international climate change action at the forthcoming group of industrialised nations G8 meeting in Scotland . But the undertow from financial interests at home is threatening to unbalance him.
 

The leader of a country where money talks louder than any other interest cannot continue to ignore the growing dissatisfaction from within the financial community. Bush's head-in-the-sand policy on man's contribution to global warming is no longer viable.
 

The momentum from pension funds, shareholder groups and several major utilities is reaching a tipping point, said former vice-president Al Gore at a UN summit on climate risk last month that drew the interest of hedge funds representing trillions of dollars worth of investment business.

Carbon-constrained future
 

US investors are growing increasingly concerned that their dollars are being spent unwisely, with utility decisions based on strategies that ignore the inevitability of a carbon-constrained future (see p2). Companies that ignore the risk are in danger of being left with millions of dollars in stranded costs when US carbon regulation is eventually passed, said Mindy Lubber, president of the investors coalition Ceres (see p3).
 

The uncertainty surrounding the science of climate change is becoming moot as most other industrialised nations are acting on the preponderance of evidence and facing up to their responsibility to cut greenhouse gases (GHGs). The US is becoming increasingly isolated, and US hedge funds are being forced to look abroad for opportunities to invest in the lucrative new clean energy markets. And recent developments from key players in the business community are signalling a change of attitude in the US from the bottom up. A large group of institutional investors, including the influential California public employee pension fund Calpers, has pledged $1bn for clean technology companies. General Electric has launched its "ecomagination" initiative (see opposite). JP Morgan has taken on a GHG reduction commitment and Ford has agreed to produce a climate change report later this year.

Climate compulsion
 

Utilities will soon be forced to include climate risk when evaluating their financial position and investment decisions. The Securities and Exchange Commission has indicated that it will take enforcement action against companies that fail to disclose climate change exposure in their annual filings, although not specifically required, as it forms part of its requirement for material risk disclosure, Lubber said.
 

Several attorneys-general are trying to force the top five emitters in the power sector to take the threat of climate change more seriously via a nuisance lawsuit filed in a New York court. Whether the case is successful or not, it does highlight how strongly states feel about the issue.
 

A group of northeastern states, for example, is bolting down the final details of a cap-and-trade programme to come into effect in 2008, which it hopes will serve as a catalyst for federal action. Now major cities are getting involved, taking on Kyoto-like strategies to cut emissions at the suggestion of the mayor of Seattle


A growing group of utilities is publishing reports disclosing their exposure to potential carbon regulation. And the recently announced merger of Duke and Cinergy, whose chief executives have both publicly supported a stronger federal climate change policy, will create the largest US utility and a powerful lobbying voice.

This article has been reproduced with permission from Argus media. It first appeared in Argus Global Emissions Volume IV,6,June 2005.

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